According to Harris/Decima Chairman Allan Gregg “These are the best numbers we've seen for Stephen Harper and the Conservative since the afterglow of the 2008 election. They have picked themselves off the floor in Quebec and are now tied with the Liberals, the historic gender gap has been virtually eliminated, they have a solid lead in Ontario and since the fall of 2010 are more competitive in Toronto than any time in recent history, and seem to be taking advantage of NDP difficulties in BC. While it is always a dubious exercise trying to isolate one event, instance or individual that is responsible for shifts in voter preference, other work we have completed on leadership favourability suggest that the turn in Conservative fortunes may be the result of Mr. Ignatieff's misfortunes."
"After a modest improvement in his net favourability scores, the Liberal leader has lost ground in our most recent poll. More importantly, our findings indicate that he is perceived more negatively by Conservatives than Mr. Harper is by Liberals, making him the more polarizing figure of the two, and suggesting the Conservative's recent attack ads may be mobilizing their soft supporters more squarely into their camp. These results don't guarantee a spring election but they definitely should strengthen the resolve of the Conservatives to resist any compromises in the upcoming Budget that opposite parties may offer in exchange for propping up the Government.”
Over the latest week, Harris/Decima also probed opinions on the leaders of the major parties. This data reveals:
This data was collected through teleVox, the company’s national telephone omnibus survey. The vote intention data were gathered between February 3 and February 13 2011 for 3,025 completed interviews. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 1.8%, 19 times out of 20. The data pertaining to leadership were gathered between February 10 and February 13 2011 for 1,007 completed interviews. A sample of the same size has a margin of error of 3.1%, 19 times out of 20.